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Why Nigeria’s National Plans fail

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“Planning is a process by which you continuously create your own future.”
Roger Fritz, in Entrepreneur 1996.

Every serious plan should have at least one goal in mind. A National Development Plan, NDP, ideally sets many development goals at once. It is always best if the goals are all very complimentary. Albert Einstein, 1879-1955, had this to say about goals. “Goals are dreams with deadlines.” The great physicist and father of nuclear energy, in all its ramifications, forgot to add that the dreams must be realistic to begin with.

Unrealistic dreams, based on sentiments, rather than quantitative analysis, invariably result in unattainable goals. No Nigerian NDP has achieved its major goals for reasons we shall soon discover. But, because there is a current NDP, it might be necessary to visit it later.

For the avoidance of any doubt, this is not going to be just a criticism of the outgoing Buhari administration and the failures of its plans. It would serve no useful purpose to waste time and space on a lame duck government which has only one more year to go. Most of the next twelve months will undoubtedly be devoted to politics; and very little time will be available to execute its last plan.

EXAMPLES FROM THE PAST
“People have finally realised that decisions made today will affect life for the next 30 to 40 years…” Edward Cornish. 1995.

In order to understand the present, we need to step back to the past; and then we can have some idea of what to expect in the future. Many of us would recollect some of the goals we have set for ourselves in the past; based on the dreams of some of our leaders. They have three things in common.

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